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Bond Markets Recession Indicator May Not Be Working This Time - Latest News


This Market Indicator That Frequently Signals a Recession Just Flashed Red

The bond market just flashed a big warning sign ... dipped below zero during the last cycle for the first time in August 2005, some 28 months before the recession began,” he wrote. You May Like read more

Bond market's recession indicator may not be working this time

A bond market recession indicator considered to be reliable is sending more and more negative signals about the economy, but some analysts say there's no reason for fear. The indicator, the so-called ... read more

Could We Be In A Recession And Not Know It?

The inverted yield curve has a decent track-record of recession forecasting. However, it's often an early indicator, and the yield curve is not ... time these indicators are giving an indication that ... read more

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February's Market Outlook: Both Dangerous and Fruitful

But this is a good time to remind you that a bond ... is not a guarantee or a reliable indicator of future results. Investing in the markets is subject to certain risks including market, interest rate ... read more


The Bond Market Stopped Being Polite Last December

In this alternate case, they may even decide ... meaning forward in time, inverting the thing, that’s not some day trader or the 40-year old office worker adjusting her 401(k). There is no Mrs. Watana... read more

Daily State Of The Markets: Bull Vs. Bear - The Line In The Sand?

But to be sure, there is a lot more at work ... indicators remains sub-par. This is disconcerting to say the least and I view the message as a warning that this may not be the best time to throw ... read more

Take Five: The R-word - World markets themes for the week ahead

Warnings of a U.S. economic recession ... time on record. But that accolade has proved a mixed blessing in the past. After all, the only way one can go from the top is down. And those fiscal and geopo... read more

Markets Now: Live Markets Coverage as It Unfolds

While traders pointed out that market action was quiet Tuesday, they also said an agreement not to raise tariffs ... loans in December. Bond prices and yields move in opposite directions. Though the e... read more

Does This Mean a Recession is Coming?

The yield curve is known as the most accurate predictor of recessions but, as an inversion looks imminent, Neptune's James Dowey explains why it may not be this time ... recession expectation indicato... read more

What's a flattening yield curve and why it may be scary

A warning light is flashing in the bond market. An obscure measure known as the yield ... Powell suggested it might not signal a recession this time. He noted that in the past "inflation was allowed t... read more

ETJ: It Could Be A Good Idea To Hedge Your Market Bets With This High-Yielding Closed-End Fund

This generally means that the bond market expects interest rates to fall going forward and is typically viewed as an indicator of a coming recession ... now may be an appropriate time to begin ... read more

This recession indicator is predicting one in 18 months

One reliable recession predictor is the US bond market’s yield curve ... “[However] it might not be enough to offset if there are headwinds coming from the US and our largest trading partner.” Make yo... read more



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