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Bond Markets Recession Indicator May Not Be Working This Time - Latest News


Bond market's recession indicator may not be working this time

A bond market recession indicator considered to be reliable is sending more and more negative signals about the economy, but some analysts say there's no reason for fear. The indicator, the so-called ... read more

10 Reasons It's Time to Be a Stock Market Bear

Since hitting the trough of the Great Recession more than nine years ago, the stock market has done ... they've seen in a long time. This is creating the strongest wage growth we've witnessed in a dec... read more

Market Indicators That Foreshadow the Next Recession

One of the leading indicators foreshadowing the next recession is a break ... increasing inflation. The bond market behavior and its contagion are common with late cycle dynamics, however the reaction ... read more

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Now, the Markets Can Worry About Other Things. Here’s a List.

At the same time, the markets will refocus on the bread-and-butter concerns that have weighed on stock and bond returns for ... will fall into a recession in the next two years, pushing stocks into a ... read more


State Of The Economy 11: When The Next Recession Is Likely To Start

Today, the bond ... recession coming, and prepare for it. But not by market timing, but asset allocation that fits your personal risk profile, goals, and time horizon. Every major GDP model uses sligh... read more

Op-ed: This market indicator has predicted the past 7 recessions. Here's where it may be headed next

This next inversion will occur in the context of record high equity, real estate and bond market valuations that will require another government bailout. However, this time around the recession will . ... read more

Amid market decline, be prudent but don’t panic

I’ll detail some possible catalysts for the market ... not reviewed your allocation in a long time, you may find it’s no longer appropriate for your situation. Perhaps you invested aggressively in a 4... read more

What's a flattening yield curve and why it may be scary

A warning light is flashing in the bond market. An obscure measure known as the yield ... Powell suggested it might not signal a recession this time. He noted that in the past "inflation was allowed t... read more

Investment Climate Forecast: Unsettled Markets

It should come as no surprise that credit bonds -- that is ... coming out of the Great Recession. Disclosure: Comments provided are informational only, not individual investment advice or recommendati... read more

State Of The Economy 13: Is The Fed Trying To Kill The Bull Market?

There is no need for long-term investors to get especially defensive with their portfolios at this time ... not be used as a market timing mechanism but rather purely as a good recession risk ... read more

Markets Must Decide Which History to Believe

(Bloomberg Opinion) -- The S&P 500 Index rose for the fifth time in six days Tuesday ... This economy isn’t — or at least not at the moment. But it may be a bit overripe. read more



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